The Stock Watch

Upgrades

Recent news and/or performance has made us more optimistic about these particular players for fantasy purposes.

David Johnson (RB, Ari) – What else do you need to say? The Cardinal offense hasn’t been good at all this year, but DJ is just matchup and gameflow-proof. DJ posted 22/111/3 rushing and 3/27 receiving against the Jets on Monday night. This was while playing 87% of the Cardinals’ offensive snaps, so there is simply no challenger for his role at this point. Johnson ripped off a 59-yard first quarter TD run, and other than that the Jets actually stymied him pretty well, holding him to 52 yards on his other 21 carries. But DJ got short TD opportunities, which really helped him to hit a ceiling yet again. The fact is, even when he gets bottled up for most of a night, he’s dangerous. With QB Carson Palmer and this passing game struggling overall, the run game is more important than ever for the Cardinals, and DJ is pushing Ezekiel Elliott, LeSean McCoy, and DeMarco Murray hard for the #1 overall RB in fantasy football.

 

Downgrades

Recent news and/or performance has made us less optimistic about these particular players for fantasy purposes.

Carson Palmer (QB, Ari) – Fewer people will be talking about this during the week because of how disastrously bad Ryan Fitzpatrick was on Monday night, but it’s not like Palmer was very good either. The Cardinals beat the Jets handily, but that was in large part because of David Johnson’s exploits, and the defense as well. Against one of the NFL’s worst pass defenses, Palmer went 23/34 for 213 yards and a TD. It was the fewest passing yards allowed by a Jet defense all year – even Alex Smith threw for more. Moreover, it was also the worst fantasy performance for a QB against the Jets. Palmer was shaky and inaccurate, and though he was also pressured quite a bit, there’s no doubt his struggled cratered a ton of fantasy matchups this week. So far this year, Palmer has four consecutive weeks of under 20 FP, if you count the game he missed in Week 5. Palmer had only two such games in all of 2015 combined, both coming in the last three weeks of the season. There’s no doubt about it, the Cardinal offense is in a rough way right now, and if Palmer can’t exploit this poor defense at home, when can we trust him?

Matt Forte (RB, NYJ) – Woof. The Jets offense is an absolute disaster right now, and Forte isn’t helping. He posted just 9/19 rushing and 1/3 receiving against the Cardinals on Monday night, including a dropped pass. For the second time in the last three weeks, Forte played fewer snaps than fellow RB Bilal Powell, and for the fourth consecutive game he scored fewer PPR fantasy points than Powell. The play of Ryan Fitzpatrick is dragging down the entire offense, but Forte looks slow and tentative. It’s not like Powell looks great either, but it’s becoming evident that Powell may well be the more valuable of the two backs for fantasy moving forward. The Jets will roll with the more effective player, and right now, that is Powell.


Holding Steady

These players have been in the news in one way or another, but we think their fantasy stock remains largely unchanged. 

Brandon Marshall (WR, NYJ) – Marshall had a tough matchup on Monday night, dealing with top CB Patrick Peterson while also having to deal with the struggles of QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. Marshall posted 3/70 receiving on 6 targets, earning every single catch he made. Fitz will be back in the starting lineup next week, though you have to imagine Geno Smith is getting very close to taking over the starting job. Marshall has dealt with awful QB play for his entire career, and this year is no different. Fitz may well be playing like the worst QB in the NFL right now, and who knows how much better Geno could possibly be. It, unfortunately, makes Marshall more WR2 than WR1, though we have to acknowledge his 10 FP going up against Peterson while dealing with Fitz’s struggles are more a positive sign than anything else.

 

Watch List

Keep an eye on these players and situations. It may be too early to make a call one way or the other on them, but they are situations worth watching.

John Brown and Michael Floyd (WRs, Ari) – Both Brown and Floyd were popular lower-end DFS plays this week because of the matchup against the Jets, but both struggled to produce. In Brown’s case, it was because Carson Palmer wasn’t very sharp. In Floyd’s case, it was because he barely played. On a 62.3% snap share, Brown posted 5/54 receiving on 7 targets, while Floyd played 48.1% of the offensive snaps and managed 2/22 receiving on 2 targets, though he scored a late meaningless TD to at least give players something. Brown, once again, showed well, but his snaps were way down from previous games, as Bruce Arians seems insistent on getting Jaron Brown and J.J. Nelson involved. Floyd, meanwhile, was absent for pretty much the entire first half, though he got some red-zone snaps, and his involvement increased in the second half. This Cardinal offense looks awful right now, and shockingly, only Larry Fitzgerald is a consistent option in the passing game for fantasy. They’re rotating five receivers, which makes the margin for error slim enough as is, but combined with Palmer’s struggles, the ceilings for both players are way lower than anticipated.

 

Inside the Boxscore

New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals

Final Score: NYJ - 3 | ARI - 28

Targets/Carries/Red-Zone Info:

New York Jets

  • WR Charone Peake had 9 targets and 5 receptions for 43 yards. Yds/Tgt: 4.8, Catch Rate: 55.6%.
  • WR Brandon Marshall had 6 targets and 3 receptions for 70 yards. He also had 3 deep balls. He had 1 red zone target. His long was 36 yards. Yds/Tgt: 11.7, Catch Rate: 50%.
  • WR Robby Anderson had 6 targets and 4 receptions for 24 yards. He also had 2 deep balls. Yds/Tgt: 4, Catch Rate: 66.7%.
  • WR Quincy Enunwa had 5 targets and 3 receptions for 42 yards. His long was 17 yards. Yds/Tgt: 8.4, Catch Rate: 60%.
  • RB Bilal Powell had 4 targets and 3 receptions for 12 yards. Yds/Tgt: 3, Catch Rate: 75%.
  • RB Matt Forte had 3 targets and 1 reception for 3 yards. Yds/Tgt: 1, Catch Rate: 33.3%.
  • WR Jalin Marshall had 3 targets and 1 reception for 11 yards. Yds/Tgt: 3.7, Catch Rate: 33.3%.

Arizona Cardinals

  • WR Larry Fitzgerald had 9 targets and 6 receptions for 49 yards. He also had 1 deep ball. He had 2 red zone targets, including 1 goal line target. Yds/Tgt: 5.4, Catch Rate: 66.7%.
  • WR John Brown had 7 targets and 5 receptions for 54 yards. He also had 1 deep ball. He had 1 red zone target. Yds/Tgt: 7.7, Catch Rate: 71.4%.
  • RB David Johnson had 6 targets and 3 receptions for 27 yards, and 3 TDs. Yds/Tgt: 4.5, Catch Rate: 50%.
  • WR Jaron Brown had 5 targets and 4 receptions for 35 yards. Yds/Tgt: 7, Catch Rate: 80%.
  • WR J.J. Nelson had 2 targets and 2 receptions for 16 yards. Yds/Tgt: 8, Catch Rate: 100%.
  • TE Jermaine Gresham had 2 targets and 1 reception for 14 yards. Yds/Tgt: 7, Catch Rate: 50%.
  • WR Michael Floyd had 2 targets and 2 receptions for 22 yards, and 1 TD. He had 1 red zone target. Yds/Tgt: 11, Catch Rate: 100%.
  • TE Ifeanyi Momah had 1 target and 0 reception for 0 yards. Yds/Tgt: 0, Catch Rate: 0%.
  • TE Darren Fells had 1 target and 1 reception for 8 yards. Yds/Tgt: 8, Catch Rate: 100%.

Other Notes:

New York Jets

R. Anderson

WR

54

100%

B. Marshall

WR

53

98%

Q. Enunwa

WR

50

93%

B. Powell

RB

39

72%

C. Peake

WR

29

54%

M. Forte

RB

21

39%

B. Bostick

TE

9

17%

K. Davis

TE

9

17%

J. Marshall

WR

6

11%

Arizona Cardinals

J. Gresham

TE

73

95%

L. Fitzgerald

WR

67

87%

D. Johnson

RB

67

87%

J. Brown

WR

48

62%

M. Floyd

WR

37

48%

D. Fells

TE

31

40%

J. Brown

WR

28

36%

J. Nelson

WR

16

21%

A. Ellington

RB

8

10%

I. Momah

TE

6

8%

S. Taylor

RB

4

5%