Game note: At 59 points, Falcons-Patriots is the largest over/under for the Super Bowl ever, eclipsing Colts-Saints in 2009 (56.5).
- Since ATL lost to KC in Week 13, Matt Ryan has averaged 310.2 YPG, has an 18:0 TD-to-INT ratio, and has thrown for 9.54 YPA. Ryan led the league in YPA for the full year by a mile (9.3).
- In that span since the loss to KC, Atlanta is averaging 39 points per game.
- Falcons have eclipsed 40 points in three of their last six games.
- For perspective, the 2013 Broncos averaged 37.9 PPG while the undefeated 2007 Patriots averaged 36.8 PPG.
- This is way back in 2013, but Belichick did not use a single ISO corner to shadow Julio. He went for 6/108 on 13 targets that day.
- Devonta Freeman has caught 4+ passes in five-straight while Coleman has at least 3 catches in four-straight.
- In the regular season, the Patriots allowed the second-most receptions per game to enemy RBs and nearly 60% of their PPR fantasy points allowed to RBs came via the passing game, by far the highest dependency in the league.
- Vic Beasley has 12 QB hurries in his last five games.
- The Falcons’ corners are struggling. RCB Jalen Collins has allowed a touchdown in three of his last four games.
- LCB Robert Alford has allowed 5/81/1 and 5/51/1 in coverage in the Falcons two playoff games.
- Slot corner Brian Poole has allowed 8.95 yards per coverage target in his last five games, well above league average of about 7.6 YPT.
- The Falcons’ run defense is really struggling, too. Over last five weeks Atlanta has allowed 558 yards on 104 carries (5.37 YPC) to SF, GB, CAR, NO, and SEA.
- Per Rich Hribar of Rotoworld, since Tom Brady returned from suspension, the Pats’ have scored on 49% of their offensive possessions – second only to ATL in that category (57%).
- The Patriots only trailed on 17% of their snaps this year, the best rate in the league. The Falcons trailed on 28% of snaps, second-best.
- Patriots RB snaps over the past five weeks: Lewis (132), Blount (131), White (104)
- Patriots RB touches in that span: Blount (76), Lewis (73), White (21)
- Atlanta allowed the most receptions (6.7) and yards per game (55) to enemy running backs in the 2016 regular season.
- Pats used Edelman/Hogan exclusively in base last week and Malcolm Mitchell (back from knee injury) ran a route on 80% of Brady’s drop backs.
- Over the last five weeks, RCB Logan Ryan has allowed just 4.7 yards per coverage target per PFF, well below league average.
- Over the last five weeks, LCB Malcolm Butler has allowed just 4.3 yards per coverage target per PFF.
- This is crazy: The Patriots have not faced a single quarterback that finished inside of the top-8 passers in adjusted YPA this year.
- Also crazy: Even though the Patriots schedule was light in 2016, they COVERED the spread 15 times this past year. Meaning that even though their schedule was a piece of cake, they absolutely eviscerated teams through it.