We’re a month into the season and most teams have played multiple games at home, so now we have enough data to sink our teeth into. So far, most our assumptions on generous or stingy tackle stadiums have been consistent from Week One.

 

Home Crew Tackle Chart

Here’s a breakdown of how each team’s stat crew compares in tackles recorded, solos vs. assists, and Total Tackle Value (weighting a solo tackle as 1 and an assist as 0.5). I’m going to use an average of the tackles and TTV, so that the teams who have played more home games don’t dominate the leaderboard.

Team

Solos

Assists

Total

TTV*

NYG

102.0

 36.0

 138.0

 120.0

Oak

103.0

 25.0

 128.0

 115.5

Was

 79.0

 53.7

 132.7

 105.8

Mia

 96.0

 18.0

 114.0

 105.0

Buf

 88.5

 32.5

 121.0

 105.0

SF

 94.0

 20.0

 114.0

 104.0

TB

 92.0

 22.5

 114.5

 103.3

SD

 93.0

 19.5

 112.5

 102.8

Pit

 82.5

 36.5

 119.0

 100.8

Hou

 78.3

 43.0

 121.3

 99.8

Dal

 76.5

 45.5

 122.0

 99.3

NE

 70.3

 56.7

 127.0

 98.7

KC

 91.0

 15.0

 106.0

 98.5

Car

 65.5

 65.0

 130.5

 98.0

Det

 88.0

 19.0

 107.0

 97.5

NO

 81.0

 33.0

 114.0

 97.5

Jac

 90.7

 12.0

 102.7

 96.7

Min

 80.0

 31.5

 111.5

 95.8

Sea

 56.0

 77.5

 133.5

 94.8

Ari

 88.0

 13.0

 101.0

 94.5

Ind

 75.0

 37.5

 112.5

 93.8

Atl

 80.0

 27.0

 107.0

 93.5

Chi

 90.0

 6.0

 96.0

 93.0

Cin

 70.0

 44.5

 114.5

 92.3

LA

 79.0

 25.0

 104.0

 91.5

Den

 86.0

 11.0

 97.0

 91.5

Cle

 73.0

 36.0

 109.0

 91.0

Ten

 75.5

 29.0

 104.5

 90.0

GB

 77.0

 26.0

 103.0

 90.0

Bal

 75.5

 26.0

 101.5

 88.5

NYJ

 67.0

 42.5

 109.5

 88.3

Phi

 77.5

 11.0

 88.5

 83.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

*Total Tackle Value

Observations

For the most part, there was very little movement from Week Three to Week Four. We still have a few teams having played only one home game, like Green Bay and Miami, so I’m not convinced those two are staying put where they are.

The Jets, Eagles, and Ravens continue to be three of the worst stadiums for tackles. I see nothing to suggest these three aren’t going to live in the cellar all season.

Conversely, the Giants, Bills, and Washington all continue living in the penthouse.

San Francisco moved up a bit as I suggested they might last week. It would be a big surprise if they don’t make it in the top-5 by midway through the season.

Houston plays fairly fast and was ranked a bit higher last season, so I’m curious to see if they end up a good matchup. As of now, they’re just an average matchup.

 

Favorable Matchups 

Now let’s highlight a few matchups this week that may either give some IDPs an extra boost, or lower their tackle ceiling.

Ari @ SF – Arizona’s offense has underperformed by most standards (including their own), but they still own one of the faster pace-of-play marks in the game. As a top-10 team in fewest seconds per play, they’re rolling into a stadium that generously rewards tackles, and playing a team that is even faster than they are. That combination should prove fruitful for both defenses.

Tony Jefferson (SS, Ari), Calais Campbell (DE, Ari), Deone Bucannon (ILB, Ari), Chandler Jones (OLB, Ari), Michael Wilhoite (ILB, SF), Antoine Bethea (SS, SF), DeForest Bucker* (DE, SF), Aaron Lynch (OLB, SF)

 

SD @ Oak – In a game that features two defenses who have trouble getting off the field, Oakland’s home crew will provide a generous backdrop for what should be one of the highest snap counts of the week as these two offenses are likely to end up in a shootout. 

Jatavis Brown (ILB, SD), Denzel Perryman (ILB, SD), Corey Liuget (DE, SD), Brandon Flowers* (CB, SD), Khalil Mack (DE, Oak), Karl Joseph (SS, Oak), Reggie Nelson (FS, Oak), Cory James (ILB, Oak), Malcolm Smith (LB, Oak), David Amerson (CB, Oak)

 

Unfavorable Matchups

Was @ Bal – Washington has enjoyed some nice home cooking when it comes to tackles, but this week they might be in trouble. Baltimore is handing out an average of 20 FP fewer in tackle value than Washington’s IDPs are used to a few miles down the road. Lower your expectations a bit for the visitors.

Will Compton (ILB, Was) Mason Foster (ILB, Was), Bashaud Breeland* (CB, Was), David Bruton* (SS, Was), Will Blackmon (FS, Was)

 

*Injured. Check status.