It is time to review Week 5’s defensive points allowed data.
In addition to traditional points allowed metrics, this weekly piece features various data points by position. Not only do our readers get access to more data that allows for a full view of what defenses allow, the data is presented as a heat map. Green will indicate an above average matchup in a particular statistic, while red indicates a below average data point.
This week I added targets allowed per game (to running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends) and position-specific (wide receiver and tight end) yards/target and fantasy points/target allowed.
All of the running back, wide receiver and tight end data points use PPR scoring. Four-points per passing touchdown is used for quarterbacks.
Quarterbacks – Defensive Stats Allowed
(Data sorted by Fantasy Points per Attempt).
This is your weekly reminder that the Jets’ are the top secondary to target in fantasy through five games. New York is allowing a generous helping of explosive plays/game and will now have to travel to Arizona on Monday Night to face Carson Palmer. While Palmer hasn’t been fantastic this year, this is inarguably his best draw of the season. We’re wheels-up on the entire Cards’ passing offense in Week 6.
Even though the Bengals are permitting the 9th-fewest passing yards/game (235.20), but they are giving up the highest passing touchdown rate (11.7%) this year. Tom Brady is on the horizon. Despite all of their investment and effort, the Bengals corners have been miserable this season.
After a shaky start to the season, Buffalo’s secondary has tightened up considerably. The Bills have allowed just two passing touchdowns all season long and their pressure-filled scheme is coming alive.
Heading into Week 6, Houston is permitting the fewest passing yards/game to opposing quarterbacks (196.50). The Texans will face their first true test of the season this week (Andrew Luck) after facing a lineup of Jay Cutler, Alex Smith, Jacoby Brisett, Marcus Mariota, and Sam Bradford in Week 1-5.
Running Backs – Defensive Stats Allowed
(Data sorted by PPR Points per RB touch).
We need to make note of a big discrepancy here. San Diego is quietly permitting only 3.58 yards/carry (7th-lowest) to opposing running backs, while the majority of their output allowed has come via the passing game. They are permitting the most targets per game to opposing rushers by a wide margin (11.60 targets/game; next closest: Atlanta with 10.20).
On the flip side of San Diego, Washington is getting ripped to shreds on the ground. Not only are they allowing the most yards/carry to opposing backs, the unit is also dead-last in FootballOutsiders’ Run Defense DVOA. Ryan Mathews and Darren Sproles get to face this leaky front-7 next.
LeSean McCoy will find himself in an amazing Week 6 matchup at home vs. the ‘Niners. San Francisco is permitting the most rushing yards per game to opposing backs (133.0) with over 75% of their PPR output allowed coming against the rush (second-most).
Wide Receivers – Defensive Stats Allowed
(Data sorted by PPR Points per WR target).
Jeremy Maclin is walking out of the Chiefs’ bye in a very nice spot. Oakland is permitting the most fantasy points per target (2.28) by a wide margin and have allowed 21+ PPR points to a single receiver in four of their first five games.
New Orleans may just rank 16th in fantasy points per target allowed, but make no mistake: Their secondary is still hopeless. The Saints are still permitting the 2nd-most yards/game to opposing receivers.
Here is a fun dichotomy: Arizona is seeing the most wide receiver targets per game (25.60), but they are bottom-5 in yards and fantasy points allowed per target. Brandon Marshall has safe volume, but his efficiency may dip considerably vs. Patrick Peterson and Company in Week 6.
Tight Ends – Defensive Stats Allowed
(Data sorted by PPR points per TE target).
Carolina does rank highly in fantasy points per target allowed to tight ends (2.45; 2nd-most) but the Panthers’ linebacking/safety corps has only allowed two top-12 weeks to the position.
Staying in the NFC South, the Falcons have quietly become one of the worst defenses vs. tight ends in the league. They didn’t face a single tight end target in Week 5, but they permitted TE6, TE2, and TE2 finishes in the three prior weeks. Jimmy Graham is next up.
The Browns are permitting over 100 yards/game to opposing wideouts on the season, which is 20 yards more than the next closest team (Dallas: 79.4 yards/game). Delaine Walker is in a glorious Week 6 draw.