Published, 1/3/17
Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans
Good History
Brock Osweiler (Hou) – This is more of an in-between stat, stacked up against his 2016 numbers. In his last 2 games against the Raiders, Osweiler has thrown for 243 yards and 308 yards, but with just 1 TD and 1 INT. It also took him 51 attempts to reach 308 yards in 2015, but he’s still averaging 16.95 FPG against the Raiders, which, in comparison to his 2016 season average of 15.5 FPG, merits some consideration.
Lamar Miller (Hou) – The Texans workhorse had 24 carries for 104 yards and a TD when these two teams met earlier this year. He added 2/9 receiving on 3 targets and finished with 19.3 FP, his second-highest fantasy outing of the season.
Latavius Murray (Oak) and Jalen Richard (Oak) – Neither RB did anything of note on the ground, but both came through for fantasy through the air. Murray (12/33/0 rushing) caught all 5 targets for 59 yards, while Richard caught all 3 targets for 50 yards and a TD. Both players finished with 14.2 FP each.
Amari Cooper (Oak) – He didn’t explode, but earlier this year in Week 11, Cooper caught 4 of 5 targets for 57 yards and a TD for 15.7 FP. The TD was nice, but his 14.3 YPC might be more encouraging.
CJ Fiedorowicz (Hou) – He didn’t find the endzone in Week 11 against the Raiders, but was a major part of the passing game, finishing with 6/82 receiving on a season-high 10 targets for 14.2 FP.
Bad History
Michael Crabtree (Oak) – While his teammate Cooper fared well against the Texans in Week 11 this year, Crabtree caught just 3 of 7 targets for a measly 7 yards.
DeAndre Hopkins (Hou) – Aside from a TD, Hopkins has a combined 8/70 receiving on 11 targets in two games against the Raiders dating back to 2014.
Will Fuller (Hou) – The rookie was targeted 4 times in Week 11 this year against the Raiders but caught just 1 of them for 17 yards.
Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Good History
Jay Ajayi (Mia) – Ajayi absolutely CRUSHED the Steelers run defense in Week 6 this year. It was the first of his back-to-back 200+ yard rushing outings. Ajayi carried the rock 25 times for 204 yards and scored twice, for a season-high and whopping 33.7 FP. He also had an 8.2 YPC, also a season-high.
Jarvis Landry (Mia) – The last time these two teams met in Week 6, Landry was a PPR machine, catching 7 of 9 targets for 91 yards and 16.1 FP. He didn’t find the EZ, but that seemed to be the case all year long.
Bad History
DeVante Parker (Mia) – Parker was targeted 7 times in Week 6 this year against the Steelers and caught 5 of them, but for a meager 28 yards. His 5.6 YPC in this one was second-lowest of his season.
Le’Veon Bell (Pit) – It wouldn’t be bad history if it were anyone other than Bell, but considering expectations and talent, Bell’s two career games against Miami have been sub-par, as he failed to reach over 61 yards rushing in either game. Still, his abilities in the passing game helped him, as he caught 6 of 7 targets for 55 yards in Week 6 earlier this year and 5 of 9 targets for 28 yards in 2013, but his average of 15.4 FPG against Miami is his 3rd-lowest against any team, and it’s the lowest against any team he’s faced more than once.
Sammie Coates (Pit) – Coates, who’s season began rather promising, put up a big ol’ goose egg against the Dolphins in Week 6 this year. He was targeted 3 times and didn’t catch any of them.
*Note: Steeler WR Antonio Brown had just 8.5 FP against Miami in Week 6 this year, but his prior meeting with the Dolphins resulted in a 5/137/1 (9 targets) stat-line for 24.7 FP.
Detroit Lions @ Seattle Seahawks
Good History
Russell Wilson (Sea) – In 2015, Wilson had an effective—not stellar—but effective game, throwing for 287 yards, 1 TD and no INTs while adding 40 yards rushing on 10 attempts, good for 22.4 FP. His completion percentage was also 76.9%, second-highest of his season. He’s only faced the Lions twice but is averaging 21.6 FPG against them.
Bad History
Matthew Stafford (Det) – Stafford actually played well against the Seahawks in 2009 and 2012, the first two times he faced them, but had a disappointing 10.2 FP in Week 4 of last year. He didn’t throw an INT, but he didn’t throw a TD either and managed just 203 yards on 35 attempts.
Jimmy Graham (Sea) vs. Det – He had just 4/29/0 receiving against the Lions last year for 6.9 FP, and dating back to his days as a Saint, Graham is averaging just 7.9 FPG against them.
Golden Tate (Det) – Tate is facing his old team for just the second time. In Week 4 last year, Tate caught just 3 balls for 29 yards, ending up with 6.5 FP.
Eric Ebron (Det) – Ebron finished with just 2/22 receiving on 3 targets in Week 4 last year against the Seahawks, good for 4.2 FP. The entire passing game all around was fairly abysmal, so Ebron wasn’t the only victim of the Seattle D.
New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers
Good History
Aaron Rodgers (GB) – Prior to this year’s matchup with the Giants, Rodgers hadn’t played New York since 2012. For what it’s worth, however, he has thrown 11 TDs in 4 games against them compared to 4 INTs and is averaging 29.0 FPG in the regular season. In his only postseason appearance against the Giants, Rodgers threw for 264 yards, 2 TDs, and an INT in a loss. In Week 5 this year, Rodgers threw for 259 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs, and finished with 22.5 FP.
Jordy Nelson (GB) – Much like his QB, Jordy has done well against the Giants. He scored earlier this year in Week 5, though only on 4/38 receiving, despite a whopping 13 targets, but in the 4 regular season meetings prior, had been averaging 17.65 FPG against New York.
Davante Adams (GB) – In his lone game against the Giants—Week 5 of this year—Adams totaled 5 catches on 8 targets for 85 yards and a TD, good for 19.5 FP. His 17.0 YPC was tied for this 4th-highest of the season.
Randall Cobb (GB) – If he goes and is more than a shell of himself this weekend, keep in mind that his 2016 performance against the Giants was his second best of the year, catching 9 of 11 targets for 108 yards and 19.8 FP.
Odell Beckham (NYG) – Though his QB had a pretty pedestrian day, OBJ still found a way to come through (surprise!). He had just 5 catches on a whopping 12 targets, but had 56 yards and scored a TD to reach 16.6 FP. He salvaged an otherwise forgettable game for this passing attack.
Bad History
Eli Manning (NYG) – Manning has had a few good games against the Packers, but was fairly disappointing the last two times out, including a Week 5 performance this year of 199 yards passing and 1 TD, with a completion % just a hair about 50 and 14.1 FP.